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BOE Announcement
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Definition
The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee consists of nine members. The Committee meets monthly for two days, usually during the first week in the month in order to determine the near-term direction of monetary policy. Changes in monetary policy are announced immediately after the meetings, but no details are available until the minutes are published two weeks later. Why Investors Care
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| Released on
1/10/08
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Highlights
The Bank of England left its key interest rate unchanged at 5.5 percent this morning. Analysts had been split on whether the Bank would wait until February when the next Inflation Report is due to act. Many thought the MPC would wait for firmer evidence of a slowdown even though recent survey data indicated that the important service sector was softening. Its rate remains the highest among G7 countries. Although third quarter growth was robust, recent data have indicated that the economy may be slowing faster than anticipated as a combination of past rate increases take hold and the global credit crunch shows signs of impacting key sectors of the economy such as housing. The Bank has an inflation target of 2 percent and consumer price inflation was above that level in November. Among events that have taken place since the last MPC meeting has been the sharp depreciation of sterling against both the dollar and the euro, the currency of its most important trading partner. But while money market conditions have eased substantially, a survey conducted by the Bank showed credit availability has become more restricted and is expected to get tighter still in the first quarter. Banks have balance sheets to repair and concerns about credit worthiness if the economy slows.
The Bank issued no statement with the decision. Bank watchers will have to wait until January 23 for the minutes of the meeting.
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Trends
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The Bank of England's primary goal is to contain inflation and it uses an inflation target to do so. The Monetary Policy Committee has been using the harmonized index of consumer prices for its inflation indicator - the CPI - since January 2004. The Bank's inflation target has been 2 percent since that time. Previously, the MPC used the retail price index excluding mortgage interest payments as its inflation indicator and a 2.5 percent inflation target. There has been a substantial spread between the two measures of inflation which can be traced to the way they are calculated. Among the key differences is the exclusion of council taxes and owner-occupied housing costs from the CPI. Arithmetic means are used to combine individual prices to construct the RPIX while geometric means that allow for substitution are used in calculation of the CPI. This formula differential accounts for nearly half of the difference in the two rates. |
Data Source: Haver Analytics | Consensus Data Source: Market News International and Thomson Financial
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