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Highlights
March was another very poor month for U.S. retailers which, nearly across the board, posted lower year-on-year results for both total and same-store sales. Total sales are barely above zero with most same-store results below zero. Chains blamed consumer troubles for the weak sales with many also citing cold weather during the month which hurt sales of seasonal items. Yet only a limited number of chains cut estimates due to their March results and many say their inventories, despite the weak sales, remain tight.
The results point to another month of trouble for Monday's retail trade report, which however may get a little lift from March's favorable seasonal adjustment. Vehicle sales, posted last week, were the weakest since the mid 90s. Shares of retailers as well as the stock market as a whole are likely to be pressured by today's results. The dollar may also feel a little pressure while the news points to lower yields in the Treasury market.
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