2008 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis
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ECB Announcement
Definition
The European Central Bank Governing Council consists of 18 members. The Committee meets twice a month. The first monthly meeting of the month is devoted to monetary policy. Changes in monetary policy if any are announced immediately after the meetings. A press conference is held about 45 minutes after the meeting ends. A statement is read concerning their action -- or lack of it -- followed by a question and answer period. The ECB does not publish any minutes for its meetings. Why Investors Care

Released on 11/6/08
Change
 Actual -50bp  
 Previous 0 bp  
   
Level
  Actual 3.25%  

Highlights
As expected, the ECB lowered its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.25 percent. It last lowered rates on October 8 by 50 basis points in concert with the Federal Reserve, Banks of England and Canada and other international central banks. The October rate cut was the first by the ECB in five years. ECB president Jean Claude Trichet said last week that easing inflation had cleared the way for lower official borrowing costs. Collapsing German business confidence and today's orders release has made it all too clear that eurozone growth has been devastated by the bank crisis and continues to deteriorate rapidly. The German Ifo institute reported that business optimism about the next six months had seen the largest drop on record. As the eurozone economy slows, the ECB is likely to cut official borrowing costs whenever possible. But it will be wary of calls for aggressive cuts as tensions in money markets have left it uncertain about the effectiveness of loosening monetary policy, and the governing council will want to keep ammunition in reserve. Needless to say, everyone will be listening closely to Trichet's opening remarks at his press conference that follows shortly.

Trends
[Chart] The ECB monitors two "pillars" of monetary policy - the harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP) and M3 money supply - in its objective to control inflation. The ceiling for HICP growth is 2 percent. M3 growth is targeted at a 4.5 percent reference growth rate. In September, HICP eased to 3.6 percent from 3.8 percent in August. Money supply growth has eased from its peak of 12 percent in October and November of 2007 but still expanded at a rate of 8.9 percent for the three months ending in September when compared with the same three months a year earlier.
Data Source: Haver Analytics | Consensus Data Source: Market News International and Thomson Financial

2008 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/10 2/7 3/6 4/10 5/8 6/5 7/3 8/7 9/4 10/2 11/6 12/4


 
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